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Sunday, March 30, 2008

Straits Times Article: Rush to tap China's clean-water market: Foreign investors lead push into potentially lucrative treatment sector

Link:
source: http://www.straitstimes.com/print/Asia/China/Story/STIStory_221456.html





SHANGHAI - WELL aware of its shoddy environmental image, China has opened the door to foreign firms eager for a piece of the fast-growing US$14.2 billion (S$20 billion) water treatment market.

China, which has made cleaner water a major policy goal, is one of Asia's most promising investment destinations for water treatment, drawing in the likes of the French Veolia Environment company and Suez Environment.

Local rivals such as China Water Industry Group and Guangdong Investment have also sprung up.

The government's stance on water has given China an edge over regional rival India in wooing foreign funds.

'India has decided to invest in the water sector mostly through public money, but China has decided to allow private companies, including foreign investors, to participate in water supply and sewage products,' UBS analyst Christopher Wong wrote in a research note.

But problems abound.

Fierce competition for projects means margins may be squeezed.

Opaque rules and a government price freeze on public utilities, including water, are also red flags.

'One challenge is frequent regulatory changes in the acquisition of land, in the usage of land, the end-right use of a particular piece of land,' said Mr Sam Ong, chief financial officer of Singapore-listed water treatment firm Hyflux.

More than half the water in China - the fourth-largest economy in the world - is unfit to drink. Last year, about 48 million Chinese lacked sufficient drinking water.

China, which boasts a fifth of the world's population, has only 7 per cent of global water resources, says Fusion Consulting.

Its per-capita water resources are a mere fifth of the world average. More than 70 per cent of China's rivers and lakes are polluted, says Macquarie Research.

'China is experiencing one of its most severe water shortages. We believe this is one of the key issues that will determine China's future in the next 20 years,' Macquarie analyst Leah Jiang wrote in a recent note.

Since the 1990s, Beijing has been slowly prising open the water industry from the grips of state-owned enterprises. It plans to invest US$130 billion in water and waste water treatment (from 2006 to 2010).

Foreign firms hope this will translate into healthy growth prospects and are keen to get a foothold.

Suez Environment, for example, will invest 100 million euros (S$218 million) annually in sewage treatment and water projects in China over the next five years.

Sino French Water Development, a venture between Hong Kong's NWS Holdings Ltd and Suez, aims to boost daily output from its Changshu plant near Shanghai by more than 40 per cent to 850,000 cu m by 2010. It plans a sludge treatment centre to match that capacity.

'The return of our company is long term. We have a profitable business with revenues that experience double-digit growth every year,' said Mr Steve Clark, executive director of Suez's China subsidiary and Sino French Water Development.

Singapore's Hyflux expects its China revenues to jump 30 per cent this year, said CFO Ong.

Investors are optimistic, boosting shares in China Water Affairs Group Ltd by 61 per cent and China Water Industry Group Ltd by 43 per cent last year.

Rising water prices in China - in many cities they have doubled in the past four years - are a main reason foreign companies are counting on significant future returns.

But Beijing is wary of stoking already-high inflation. In January, the State Council set an immediate price freeze on all public utilities, including water.

'We think this is a key risk to private investment in the water industry as the tariff remains a politically sensitive area for most local governments,' says Macquarie.

Article selected by Seok Xian, (30 March 2008)

Seok Xian's Commentary:

There are different opinions raised towards the implementation of opening water treatment market to the foreign firms. Indeed, this is one way of opening up opportunities of investments to other countries. Regardless of whether this water treatment is opened to foreign firms or not, one could tell that Chinese government is acknowledging the water shortage issue and that they are making moves to solve this problem.

The first advantage of this move is of course, the benefits reaped from tapping on others' countries expertise. This may save much more cost spent on Research and Development (R&D) technology. Instead, this cost can be spent to improve the technology to suit China's needs. Thus both China and foreign firms stand to benefit form this policy.

However, one of the concerns is that the price of China 's public utilities is controlled by the Chinese government who aims to keep the cost of living low for everyone. This means that the Chinese government, most probably will have to pay for the money invested in this water treatment project. In addition, i hope that similar problem as the coal will not happen again.

The other concern is that there may be intense competition between local and foreign firms. However, i feel that in this way, both parties will engage in healthy competition, which i think will still benefit China in the end.

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